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Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin will reach $250,000 by the end of 2025!
Arthur Hayes remains optimistic, predicting $250,000 for Bitcoin by the end of 2025, despite market uncertainties.
Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin will reach $250,000 by the end of 2025!
Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX and a prominent voice in the cryptocurrency world, recently maintained his optimistic prediction that Bitcoin will reach $250,000 by the end of 2025. In an interview, he commented on the current market situation and the developments that, in his opinion, could lead to an increase in prices. Loud crypto.news The drop in Bitcoin price to $80,600 created a market bottom that could serve as a starting point for future price increases.
Hayes believes that current dollar liquidity has bottomed out, which will support higher prices for risk assets, including Bitcoin, in the coming period. He sees the end of the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening (QT) as another positive factor for the markets. This decision could prove crucial in regaining investor confidence and consequently increasing demand for Bitcoin.
Misconceptions about ETF inflows
Hayes highlights that these funds purchased the IBIT ETF shares while simultaneously selling CME futures contracts. In this way, they have pursued a market strategy that is far from creating a stable bottom price for Bitcoin. The decline in the funding rate after October 10 caused these traders to liquidate their positions by selling the ETF and buying back futures. He criticizes the fact that many retail investors do not sufficiently understand the motivations behind these flows.
Market Conditions and the Role of the Federal Reserve
In his analysis, Hayes also points to the US Treasury Department, which raised about $1 trillion from July to November, draining liquidity from markets. This was said to be one of the reasons for the fall in the price of Bitcoin. The Treasury General Account reached the USD 900 billion mark during this period, which is very close to the target of USD 850 billion.
With the end of the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening, Hayes expects bank lending to boost lending in 2026, not the Federal Reserve itself. JP Morgan has already discussed $1.5 trillion in loans for the industrial sector, which could represent a positive signal for the entire economy and therefore also for the crypto markets.
Finally, Hayes is confident that Bitcoin will cross the $250,000 threshold by December 31, 2025, depending on the development of market conditions and investor confidence. This optimistic view remains despite the current challenges and uncertainties in the markets.