Cardano struggles for stability: signs of revival at $0.45

Cardano struggles for stability: signs of revival at $0.45

On November 18, 2025, the price of Cardano (ADA) stabilized around the daily support level of $0.45. This development follows a correction of almost 4% the previous day. Despite the decline, there are signs of an early recovery, as evidenced by on-chain and derivative indicators. According to FXStreet, the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio suggests that ADA is currently undervalued.

Currently, the 30-day MVRV ratio shows a value of -20.47%, while the 7-day MVRV ratio is at -13.44%. Negative MVRV values ​​could signal increasing buying pressure on ADA. Historical data suggests that the price of ADA often recovers when MVRV values ​​decline. In addition, derived data from Coinglass shows that fewer traders are betting on a further price decline.

Market analysis and price movements

The Open Interest Weighted Funding Rate is currently positive at 0.0060%, meaning long positions are paying the short positions. Historical trends show that price increases can occur when the funding rate turns from negative to positive. Last Sunday, ADA fell below the key support at $0.49 and recorded a decline of almost 8%. Currently, ADA is hovering above the USD 0.45 support.

If the $0.45 level can hold, there are chances of a rise towards the resistance at $0.49. A close above this level could lead to gains towards $0.62 (50-day EMA). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently around 28, indicating oversold conditions, indicating a potential weakening of bearish momentum. For a sustained recovery, the RSI must rise above the neutral line.

However, if ADA closes below USD 0.45, there could be a further decline towards the psychological level of USD 0.40. These price movements and market data highlight the current challenges facing Cardano, but also the opportunities for a possible recovery in the near future.